FA Cup badgeFA Cup · 19 August 2026AI PICK

Ulsan Citizen badgeUlsan CitizenvsGwangju FC badgeGwangju FC

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model60.0%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ulsan Citizen badge

Ulsan Citizen

Attack31
Defence66
Form36
Gwangju FC badge

Gwangju FC

Attack18
Defence36
Form18

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +20.7%Miss
Our model75.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
+20.7
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Ulsan Citizen (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Miss
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market52.4%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Ulsan Citizen Win

Edge +14.5%Miss
Our model42.3%
The market27.8%
Edge
+14.5
Odds
3.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model20.9%
The market24.0%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
4.17

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.9%

0-0

23.8%

1-1

12.6%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.