1. Lig badge1. Lig · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Ümraniyespor badgeÜmraniyesporvsEsenler Erokspor badgeEsenler Erokspor

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
49.4%
Edge
+9.0 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +9.0%
Our model58.4%
The market49.4%

The market underrated this by 9.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ümraniyespor badge

Ümraniyespor

Attack26
Defence27
Form11
Esenler Erokspor badge

Esenler Erokspor

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model78.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-9.7
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Esenler Erokspor (DNB)

Void
Our model65.8%
The market71.4%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.0%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market49.4%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.7%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market46.0%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
2.08

Match Winner

Esenler Erokspor Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market50.8%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.97

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model16.3%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.3%

0-0

16.6%

1-1

14.2% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.