Derde Divisie - Sunday badgeDerde Divisie - Sunday · 10 May 2026AI PICK

UNA badgeUNAvsFC Lisse badgeFC Lisse

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.9%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +5.5%
Our model70.9%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

UNA badge

UNA

Attack49
Defence55
Form44
FC Lisse badge

FC Lisse

Attack57
Defence100
Form76

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Close
Our model70.9%
The market65.4%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.2%Miss
Our model67.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

UNA Win

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model51.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

UNA (DNB)

Miss
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.0%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-1

7.6%

2-2

7.2%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.