União de Leiriavs
Benfica B
1 - 2Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 48.9%
- Edge
- +4.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.98
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.98
The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
União de Leiria
Benfica B
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +14.6
- Odds
- 1.74
Draw No Bet
Benfica B (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.8
- Odds
- 1.98
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.8
- Odds
- 1.64
Match Winner
Benfica B Win
- Edge
- +13.5
- Odds
- 3.38
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 8.82
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
9.9%
1-1
14.3%
0-0
9.9%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.