Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 15 August 2026AI PICK

União de Leiria badgeUnião de LeiriavsBenfica B badgeBenfica B

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
48.9%
Edge
+4.8 pts
Best odds
1.98

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.98

LowEdge +4.8%
Our model53.7%
The market48.9%

The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

União de Leiria badge

União de Leiria

Attack53
Defence38
Form25
Benfica B badge

Benfica B

Attack73
Defence100
Form75

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +14.6%Correct
Our model72.1%
The market57.5%
Edge
+14.6
Odds
1.74

Draw No Bet

Benfica B (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.8%Close
Our model53.7%
The market48.9%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.98

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market58.6%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
1.64

Match Winner

Benfica B Win

Edge +13.5%Correct
Our model43.1%
The market29.6%
Edge
+13.5
Odds
3.38

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.82

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.9%

1-1

14.3%

0-0

9.9%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.