Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 18 April 2026AI PICK

União de Leiria badgeUnião de LeiriavsPenafiel badgePenafiel

4 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+5.6 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

União de Leiria Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +5.6%
Our model55.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

União de Leiria badge

União de Leiria

Attack74
Defence41
Form51
Penafiel badge

Penafiel

Attack38
Defence61
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

União de Leiria (DNB)

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model63.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

União de Leiria Win

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model55.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model54.9%
The market51.3%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market54.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.