Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 6 September 2026AI PICK

União de Leiria badgeUnião de LeiriavsPortimonense badgePortimonense

1 - 0

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.6%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+7.5 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +7.5%
Our model55.6%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 7.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

União de Leiria badge

União de Leiria

Attack71
Defence43
Form43
Portimonense badge

Portimonense

Attack41
Defence40
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model59.9%
The market76.3%
Edge
-16.4
Odds
1.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.5%
Our model55.6%
The market48.1%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
2.08

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market50.8%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.97

Draw No Bet

União de Leiria (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market59.2%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.69

Match Winner

União de Leiria Win

Correct
Our model30.0%
The market45.5%
Edge
-15.5
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model11.2%
The market12.9%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2% · actual

1-1

12.9%

2-0

10.8%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.