Liga 3 · 16 May 2026AI PICK
União Santarémvs
Varzim
2 - 2Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.1%
- Market said
- 58.8%
- Edge
- +3.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
União Santarém
Varzim
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 1.70
Draw No Bet
União Santarém (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -7.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
União Santarém Win
- Edge
- -0.7
- Odds
- 2.30
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
15.5%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
11.4%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.