Serie C - Girone A badgeSerie C - Girone A · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Union Brescia badgeUnion BresciavsAthletic Carpi badgeAthletic Carpi

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
44.1%
Edge
+9.7 pts
Best odds
2.18

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.18

LowEdge +9.7%
Our model53.8%
The market44.1%

The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model69.2%
The market99.0%
Edge
-29.8
Odds
1.01

Draw No Bet

Union Brescia (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.9%
The market87.7%
Edge
-29.8
Odds
1.14

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.7%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market44.1%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
2.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market57.2%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
1.68

Match Winner

Union Brescia Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market77.5%
Edge
-35.2
Odds
1.29

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

1-2

7.7%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.