Union Bresciavs
Athletic Carpi
3 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 44.1%
- Edge
- +9.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.18
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.18
The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -29.8
- Odds
- 1.01
Draw No Bet
Union Brescia (DNB)
- Edge
- -29.8
- Odds
- 1.14
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.7
- Odds
- 2.18
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -3.5
- Odds
- 1.68
Match Winner
Union Brescia Win
- Edge
- -35.2
- Odds
- 1.29
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.9%
1-1
13.4%
1-2
7.7%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.