Serie C - Girone A badgeSerie C - Girone A · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Union Brescia badgeUnion BresciavsDesenzano Calvina badgeDesenzano Calvina

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
45.2%
Edge
+16.0 pts
Best odds
2.21

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.21

MediumEdge +16.0%
Our model61.2%
The market45.2%

The market underrated this by 16.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Union Brescia badge

Union Brescia

Attack98
Defence43
Form67
Desenzano Calvina badge

Desenzano Calvina

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model77.7%
The market93.5%
Edge
-15.8
Odds
1.07

Draw No Bet

Union Brescia (DNB)

Correct
Our model69.9%
The market78.7%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.0%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market45.2%
Edge
+16.0
Odds
2.21

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.6%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market44.6%
Edge
+10.6
Odds
2.24

Match Winner

Union Brescia Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
-11.9
Odds
1.57

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

10.0%

2-0

8.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.