Primera B badgePrimera B · 27 July 2026AI PICK

Union Espanola badgeUnion EspanolavsRecoleta badgeRecoleta

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+4.2 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +4.2%
Our model55.5%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 4.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Union Espanola badge

Union Espanola

Attack46
Defence52
Form48
Recoleta badge

Recoleta

Attack51
Defence38
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market51.3%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Recoleta (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Recoleta Win

Edge +8.1%Miss
Our model38.4%
The market30.3%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
3.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

13.5%

2-1

8.4% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.