Primera B badgePrimera B · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Union Espanola badgeUnion EspanolavsSan Marcos de Arica badgeSan Marcos de Arica

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
52.1%
Edge
+1.6 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

LowEdge +1.6%
Our model53.7%
The market52.1%

The market underrated this by 1.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Union Espanola badge

Union Espanola

Attack49
Defence46
Form50
San Marcos de Arica badge

San Marcos de Arica

Attack39
Defence61
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market72.5%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.38

Draw No Bet

Union Espanola (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.6%Close
Our model53.7%
The market52.1%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market61.3%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.63

Match Winner

Union Espanola Win

Edge +0.4%Correct
Our model43.1%
The market42.7%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
2.34

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.6%

1-1

13.9%

2-1

9.2% · actual

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.