Union Espanolavs
San Marcos de Arica
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 52.1%
- Edge
- +1.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.92
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92
The market underrated this by 1.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -0.4
- Odds
- 1.38
Draw No Bet
Union Espanola (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 1.92
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -8.5
- Odds
- 1.63
Match Winner
Union Espanola Win
- Edge
- +0.4
- Odds
- 2.34
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.10
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.6%
1-1
13.9%
2-1
9.2% · actual
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.