Primera División badgePrimera División · 31 August 2026AI PICK

Union La Calera badgeUnion La CaleravsD. La Serena badgeD. La Serena

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
51.9%
Edge
+9.4 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.82

MediumEdge +9.4%
Our model61.3%
The market51.9%

The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Union La Calera badge

Union La Calera

Attack50
Defence56
Form41
D. La Serena badge

D. La Serena

Attack56
Defence40
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model77.1%
The market81.3%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.4%Miss
Our model61.3%
The market51.9%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
1.82

Draw No Bet

Union La Calera (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.7%
The market60.2%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market57.5%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Union La Calera Win

Miss
Our model43.7%
The market48.3%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
2.07

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

2-0

5.2%

1-0

5.2%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.