Union Mauervs
Retz
1 - 2Full time · 0 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 92.0%
- Market said
- 44.4%
- Edge
- +47.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 47.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Union Mauer
Retz
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 2 right, 1 close
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +47.6
- Odds
- 2.25
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 1.14
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +23.4
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- +7.7
- Odds
- 1.91
Draw No Bet
Union Mauer (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Union Mauer Win
- Edge
- -31.3
- Odds
- 1.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
60.1%
0-1
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.