Copa Argentina badgeCopa Argentina · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Union Santa Fe badgeUnion Santa FevsIndependiente badgeIndependiente

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Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.7%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+23.7 pts
Best odds
2.38

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38

MediumEdge +23.7%
Our model65.7%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 23.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Union Santa Fe badge

Union Santa Fe

Attack51
Defence56
Form51
Independiente badge

Independiente

Attack58
Defence51
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +23.7%Close
Our model65.7%
The market42.0%
Edge
+23.7
Odds
2.38

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +17.4%Miss
Our model65.0%
The market47.6%
Edge
+17.4
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Union Santa Fe Win

Edge +16.2%Miss
Our model54.7%
The market38.5%
Edge
+16.2
Odds
2.60

Draw No Bet

Union Santa Fe (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.2%
The market7.1%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.2%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

8.2%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.