Union Santa Fevs
Independiente
0 - 2Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.7%
- Market said
- 42.0%
- Edge
- +23.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.38
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38
The market underrated this by 23.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +23.7
- Odds
- 2.38
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +17.4
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
Union Santa Fe Win
- Edge
- +16.2
- Odds
- 2.60
Draw No Bet
Union Santa Fe (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 14.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.