Liga Profesional Argentina badgeLiga Profesional Argentina · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Union Santa Fe badgeUnion Santa FevsSarmiento Junin badgeSarmiento Junin

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
52.1%
Edge
+1.9 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.92

LowEdge +1.9%
Our model54.0%
The market52.1%

The market underrated this by 1.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Union Santa Fe badge

Union Santa Fe

Attack65
Defence35
Form40
Sarmiento Junin badge

Sarmiento Junin

Attack65
Defence37
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model66.5%
The market83.3%
Edge
-16.8
Odds
1.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market52.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.92

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.2%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Union Santa Fe (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market69.9%
Edge
-19.8
Odds
1.43

Match Winner

Union Santa Fe Win

Correct
Our model33.3%
The market52.6%
Edge
-19.3
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

1-2

7.7%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.