Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Unionistas de SalamancavsTenerife

2 - 1

Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 62.1%
Market said: 47.6%
Edge: +14.5 pts
Best odds: 2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +14.5%

Our model62.1%

The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Unionistas de Salamanca

Attack64

Defence50

Form56

Tenerife

Attack59

Defence89

Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market76.9%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.5%Correct

Our model62.1%

The market47.6%

Edge: +14.5
Odds: 2.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.6%Correct

Our model59.6%

The market42.0%

Edge: +17.6
Odds: 2.38

Draw No Bet

Unionistas de Salamanca (DNB)

Our model53.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -4.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Unionistas de Salamanca Win

Our model43.0%

The market50.0%

Edge: -7.0
Odds: 2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.2%

Our model9.3%

The market8.1%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 12.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.3%

1-1

9.1%

2-1

9.1% · actual

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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