Supercopa de Ecuador badgeSupercopa de Ecuador · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Universidad Catolica badgeUniversidad CatolicavsIndependiente del Valle badgeIndependiente del Valle

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+14.9 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +14.9%
Our model67.5%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 14.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Universidad Catolica badge

Universidad Catolica

Attack55
Defence100
Form60
Independiente del Valle badge

Independiente del Valle

Attack56
Defence63
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.9%Correct
Our model67.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+14.9
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.7%Miss
Our model65.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Universidad Catolica (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Universidad Catolica Win

Miss
Our model49.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.3%
The market7.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.3%

1-1

7.9%

1-2

7.9%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.