Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 15 July 2026AI PICK

Universidad Catolica badgeUniversidad CatolicavsLDU de Quito badgeLDU de Quito

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +1.8%
Our model55.9%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Universidad Catolica badge

Universidad Catolica

Attack70
Defence41
Form40
LDU de Quito badge

LDU de Quito

Attack55
Defence75
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model74.2%
The market72.5%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.38

Draw No Bet

Universidad Catolica (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model55.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market61.3%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.63

Match Winner

Universidad Catolica Win

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model41.8%
The market41.0%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
2.44

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

12.7%

2-0

8.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.