Copa Chile badgeCopa Chile · 4 August 2026AI PICK

Universidad de Concepcion badgeUniversidad de ConcepcionvsCurico Unido badgeCurico Unido

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+7.3 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

LowEdge +7.3%
Our model53.8%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Universidad de Concepcion badge

Universidad de Concepcion

Attack41
Defence41
Form26
Curico Unido badge

Curico Unido

Attack38
Defence58
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Universidad de Concepcion (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market46.5%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.85

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model51.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
-15.0
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

Universidad de Concepcion Win

Miss
Our model33.8%
The market34.7%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
2.88

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.82

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.9%

1-1

14.3%

0-0

9.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.