Universidad de Concepcionvs
Nublense
0 - 1Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.4%
- Market said
- 46.5%
- Edge
- +8.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.9
- Odds
- 2.15
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -13.8
- Odds
- 1.53
Draw No Bet
Universidad de Concepcion (DNB)
- Edge
- -18.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Universidad de Concepcion Win
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 2.60
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.37
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
12.3% · actual
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.6%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.