Primera División badgePrimera División · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Universitario badgeUniversitariovsAlianza Atletico badgeAlianza Atletico

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+12.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Universitario Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +12.3%
Our model62.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 12.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Universitario badge

Universitario

Attack50
Defence73
Form60
Alianza Atletico badge

Alianza Atletico

Attack32
Defence64
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market87.0%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.15

Match Winner

Universitario Win

Edge +12.3%Miss
Our model62.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Universitario (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.0%Close
Our model57.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.9%Correct
Our model49.1%
The market41.2%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
2.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.