Universitariovs
Sporting Cristal
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.5%
- Market said
- 49.4%
- Edge
- +5.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.08
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08
The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Draw No Bet
Sporting Cristal (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.1
- Odds
- 2.08
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +6.0
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
Sporting Cristal Win
- Edge
- +11.6
- Odds
- 4.50
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.43
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.3%
1-1
15.0% · actual
0-0
11.8%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.