Liga I badgeLiga I · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Universitatea Craiova badgeUniversitatea CraiovavsPetrolul Ploiesti badgePetrolul Ploiesti

4 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.9%
Market said
46.2%
Edge
+26.7 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

High confidenceEdge +26.7%
Our model72.9%
The market46.2%

The market underrated this by 26.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Universitatea Craiova badge

Universitatea Craiova

Attack73
Defence44
Form59
Petrolul Ploiesti badge

Petrolul Ploiesti

Attack56
Defence48
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.8%
The market93.5%
Edge
-18.7
Odds
1.07

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +26.7%Correct
Our model72.9%
The market46.2%
Edge
+26.7
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +29.5%Miss
Our model71.5%
The market42.0%
Edge
+29.5
Odds
2.43

Draw No Bet

Universitatea Craiova (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Universitatea Craiova Win

Correct
Our model49.5%
The market69.4%
Edge
-19.9
Odds
1.44

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.7%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.95

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

9.0%

2-2

7.0%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.