First League badgeFirst League · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Ural badgeUralvsShinnik Yaroslavl badgeShinnik Yaroslavl

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.9%
Market said
50.8%
Edge
+8.1 pts
Best odds
1.97

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.97

MediumEdge +8.1%
Our model58.9%
The market50.8%

The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ural badge

Ural

Attack63
Defence73
Form56
Shinnik Yaroslavl badge

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Attack52
Defence73
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.1%Miss
Our model58.9%
The market50.8%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.97

Match Winner

Ural Win

Edge +6.7%Miss
Our model56.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Ural (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.7%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market45.2%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
2.21

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.