First League badgeFirst League · 13 July 2026AI PICK

Ural badgeUralvsTorpedo Moskva badgeTorpedo Moskva

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
47.7%
Edge
+14.3 pts
Best odds
2.03

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.03

MediumEdge +14.3%
Our model62.0%
The market47.7%

The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ural badge

Ural

Attack54
Defence75
Form58
Torpedo Moskva badge

Torpedo Moskva

Attack72
Defence90
Form83

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market76.9%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.3%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market47.7%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
2.03

Draw No Bet

Torpedo Moskva (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.5%Miss
Our model58.5%
The market52.0%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
1.94

Match Winner

Torpedo Moskva Win

Edge +20.0%Correct
Our model41.8%
The market21.8%
Edge
+20.0
Odds
4.58

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.79

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

1-1

8.3%

2-2

7.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.