Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Urena SC badgeUrena SCvsDeportivo Lara badgeDeportivo Lara

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
49.8%
Edge
+11.4 pts
Best odds
2.01

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.01

MediumEdge +11.4%
Our model61.2%
The market49.8%

The market underrated this by 11.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Urena SC badge

Urena SC

Attack61
Defence50
Form53
Deportivo Lara badge

Deportivo Lara

Attack71
Defence63
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model76.5%
The market79.4%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.4%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market49.8%
Edge
+11.4
Odds
2.01

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Lara (DNB)

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model57.0%
The market55.2%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.81

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market56.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.77

Match Winner

Deportivo Lara Win

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model43.6%
The market43.5%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
2.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

10.5%

2-1

7.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.