Segunda División · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Urena SCvsFundación Lara Deportiva

1 - 1

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 54.5%
Market said: 48.1%
Edge: +6.4 pts
Best odds: 2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

LowEdge +6.4%

Our model54.5%

The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 6.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Urena SC

Attack65

Defence68

Form70

Fundación Lara Deportiva

Attack49

Defence51

Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct

Our model72.7%

The market73.5%

Edge: -0.8
Odds: 1.36

Draw No Bet

Urena SC (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Void

Our model60.3%

The market57.1%

Edge: +3.2
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.4%Close

Our model54.5%

The market48.1%

Edge: +6.4
Odds: 2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct

Our model53.6%

The market54.1%

Edge: -0.5
Odds: 1.85

Match Winner

Urena SC Win

Edge +8.2%Miss

Our model51.7%

The market43.5%

Edge: +8.2
Odds: 2.30

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model9.7%

The market11.2%

Edge: -1.5
Odds: 8.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-1

12.2% · actual

2-0

8.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

Get the app See the full track record