Derde Divisie - Saturday · 23 May 2026AI PICK
URKvs
Excelsior '31
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.8%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +21.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 21.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
URK
Excelsior '31
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +21.2
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +14.1
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
URK Win
- Edge
- +13.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
URK (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
1-1
6.4%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.