Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 27 June 2026AI PICK

Uruguay Montevideo badgeUruguay MontevideovsFenix badgeFenix

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.4%
Market said
44.4%
Edge
+11.0 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +11.0%
Our model55.4%
The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Uruguay Montevideo badge

Uruguay Montevideo

Attack43
Defence48
Form33
Fenix badge

Fenix

Attack74
Defence55
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market78.1%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.0%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market44.4%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model51.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Fenix (DNB)

Our model38.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
-18.4
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Fenix Win

Our model38.6%
The market48.8%
Edge
-10.2
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.5%
Our model12.0%
The market10.5%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.0%

1-1

9.7%

1-2

9.7%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.