World Cup badgeWorld Cup · 27 June 2026AI PICK

Uruguay badgeUruguayvsSpain badgeSpain

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.4%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+7.8 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +7.8%
Our model55.4%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 7.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Uruguay badge

Uruguay

Attack31
Defence100
Form40
Spain badge

Spain

Attack66
Defence100
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model75.3%
The market80.0%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.8%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market47.6%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Spain Win

Our model55.4%
The market63.7%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.1%Miss
Our model51.6%
The market45.5%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Spain (DNB)

Our model38.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
-18.4
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%
Our model12.6%
The market10.9%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
9.14

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.6% · actual

0-2

9.9%

1-2

9.9%

We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.