World Cup · 13 June 2026AI PICK
USAvs
Paraguay
4 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.0%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +11.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
USA
Paraguay
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +11.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.0
- Odds
- 2.30
Draw No Bet
USA (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
USA Win
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 2.05
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.37
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.