Serie D - Girone B · 10 May 2026AI PICK
USD Casatesevs
Leon
4 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.4%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +8.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
USD Casatese
Leon
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.2
- Odds
- 2.20
Match Winner
USD Casatese Win
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
USD Casatese (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.51
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-1
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.