Serie D - Girone B badgeSerie D - Girone B · 3 May 2026AI PICK

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1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
50.3%
Edge
+11.0 pts
Best odds
1.99

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.99

MediumEdge +11.0%
Our model61.3%
The market50.3%

The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

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Attack52
Defence100
Form62
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Leon Monza e Brianza

Attack65
Defence58
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.0%Miss
Our model61.3%
The market50.3%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
1.99

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.4%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market48.1%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
2.08

Match Winner

USD Casatese Win

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model53.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

USD Casatese (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.