Eredivisie badgeEredivisie · 21 May 2026AI PICK

Utrecht badgeUtrechtvsHeerenveen badgeHeerenveen

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.2%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +5.5%
Our model69.2%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Utrecht badge

Utrecht

Attack54
Defence74
Form67
Heerenveen badge

Heerenveen

Attack54
Defence46
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model69.2%
The market63.7%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model66.5%
The market66.7%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

Utrecht Win

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Utrecht (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.4%
The market7.3%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

7.5%

1-2

7.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.