World Cup · 18 June 2026AI PICK

UzbekistanvsColombia

1 - 3

Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 70.9%
Market said: 52.4%
Edge: +18.5 pts
Best odds: 1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91

High confidenceEdge +18.5%

Our model70.9%

The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 18.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Uzbekistan

Attack58

Defence68

Form60

Colombia

Attack66

Defence58

Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market84.7%

Edge: +0.3
Odds: 1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.5%Correct

Our model70.9%

The market52.4%

Edge: +18.5
Odds: 1.91

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +21.8%Correct

Our model67.3%

The market45.5%

Edge: +21.8
Odds: 2.20

Draw No Bet

Uzbekistan (DNB)

Miss

Our model49.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -8.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Uzbekistan Win

Edge +36.8%Miss

Our model48.6%

The market11.8%

Edge: +36.8
Odds: 8.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.0%

Our model8.0%

The market7.0%

Edge: +1.0
Odds: 14.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-1

7.6%

2-2

7.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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