J1 League badgeJ1 League · 6 May 2026AI PICK

V-varen Nagasaki badgeV-varen NagasakivsFagiano Okayama badgeFagiano Okayama

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+2.4 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +2.4%
Our model62.3%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

V-varen Nagasaki badge

V-varen Nagasaki

Attack37
Defence53
Form46
Fagiano Okayama badge

Fagiano Okayama

Attack34
Defence47
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.4%Close
Our model62.3%
The market59.9%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

V-varen Nagasaki (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model47.9%
The market52.4%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

V-varen Nagasaki Win

Correct
Our model42.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.