J1 League badgeJ1 League · 29 August 2026AI PICK

V-varen Nagasaki badgeV-varen NagasakivsFC Tokyo badgeFC Tokyo

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
50.4%
Edge
+10.9 pts
Best odds
1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.94

MediumEdge +10.9%
Our model61.3%
The market50.4%

The market underrated this by 10.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

V-varen Nagasaki badge

V-varen Nagasaki

Attack42
Defence40
Form33
FC Tokyo badge

FC Tokyo

Attack52
Defence34
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market78.7%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.9%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market50.4%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
1.94

Draw No Bet

FC Tokyo (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.3%
The market70.9%
Edge
-13.6
Odds
1.41

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market53.1%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

FC Tokyo Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
-13.5
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

11.8%

2-1

7.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.