J1 League badgeJ1 League · 9 August 2026AI PICK

V-varen Nagasaki badgeV-varen NagasakivsKyoto Sanga badgeKyoto Sanga

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
45.9%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

LowEdge +8.6%
Our model54.5%
The market45.9%

The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

V-varen Nagasaki badge

V-varen Nagasaki

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Kyoto Sanga badge

Kyoto Sanga

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +7.3%
Our model72.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

V-varen Nagasaki (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.6%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market45.9%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market53.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

V-varen Nagasaki Win

Edge +8.4%Correct
Our model43.1%
The market34.7%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
2.88

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1% · actual

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.