V-varen Nagasakivs
Mito Hollyhock
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.0%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +11.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectV-varen Nagasaki Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
V-varen Nagasaki Win
- Edge
- +11.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
V-varen Nagasaki (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -10.2
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 6.24
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
18.4% · actual
0-1
13.9%
0-0
13.0%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.