J1 League badgeJ1 League · 30 May 2026AI PICK

V-varen Nagasaki badgeV-varen NagasakivsMito Hollyhock badgeMito Hollyhock

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.0%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+11.0 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

V-varen Nagasaki Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +11.0%
Our model61.0%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

V-varen Nagasaki badge

V-varen Nagasaki

Attack35
Defence50
Form39
Mito Hollyhock badge

Mito Hollyhock

Attack27
Defence31
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

V-varen Nagasaki Win

Edge +11.0%Correct
Our model61.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

V-varen Nagasaki (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model43.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
-10.2
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model18.4%
The market16.0%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.24

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.4% · actual

0-1

13.9%

0-0

13.0%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.