Valenciennesvs
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 46.4%
- Edge
- +11.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.08
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08
The market underrated this by 11.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -9.9
- Odds
- 1.22
Draw No Bet
Valenciennes (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.4
- Odds
- 2.08
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.84
Match Winner
Valenciennes Win
- Edge
- +0.4
- Odds
- 1.95
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 9.02
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-0
7.4% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.