Valenzanavs
Lavagnese
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.4%
- Market said
- 60.6%
- Edge
- +9.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.65
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
The market underrated this by 9.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Valenzana
Lavagnese
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 1.27
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.65
Match Winner
Valenzana Win
- Edge
- +8.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Valenzana (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -11.3
- Odds
- 1.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.