Serie D - Girone G badgeSerie D - Girone G · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Valmontone badgeValmontonevsSarrabus Ogliastra badgeSarrabus Ogliastra

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.6%
Market said
51.5%
Edge
+8.1 pts
Best odds
1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.94

MediumEdge +8.1%
Our model59.6%
The market51.5%

The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Valmontone badge

Valmontone

Attack42
Defence38
Form33
Sarrabus Ogliastra badge

Sarrabus Ogliastra

Attack42
Defence53
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model59.6%
The market51.5%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.94

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market62.9%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.59

Draw No Bet

Valmontone (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Valmontone Win

Miss
Our model46.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.