UEFA Europa Conference League · 22 July 2026AI PICK
Vardar Skopjevs
Riga
2 - 3Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.5%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +6.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 6.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 1.44
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.7
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Riga Win
- Edge
- +15.6
- Odds
- 2.30
Draw No Bet
Riga (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.0
- Odds
- 1.62
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.24
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
7.8%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.