CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 29 July 2026AI PICK

Vasco DA Gama badgeVasco DA GamavsIndependiente Medellin badgeIndependiente Medellin

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
50.4%
Edge
+10.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +10.8%
Our model61.2%
The market50.4%

The market underrated this by 10.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Vasco DA Gama badge

Vasco DA Gama

Attack59
Defence40
Form43
Independiente Medellin badge

Independiente Medellin

Attack62
Defence50
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.8%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market50.4%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.4%Miss
Our model55.5%
The market49.1%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Vasco DA Gama (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market84.7%
Edge
-33.0
Odds
1.18

Match Winner

Vasco DA Gama Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market60.6%
Edge
-17.0
Odds
1.65

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

13.1%

1-2

8.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.