Serie A badgeSerie A · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Vasco DA Gama badgeVasco DA GamavsMirassol badgeMirassol

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
47.3%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +8.2%
Our model55.5%
The market47.3%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Vasco DA Gama badge

Vasco DA Gama

Attack50
Defence47
Form44
Mirassol badge

Mirassol

Attack46
Defence66
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model73.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.2%Close
Our model55.5%
The market47.3%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Vasco DA Gama (DNB)

Void
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market53.5%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Vasco DA Gama Win

Miss
Our model42.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7% · actual

1-0

8.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.