Serie A · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Vasco DA Gamavs
Santos
0 - 3Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 48.1%
- Edge
- +5.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +17.5
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Santos (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- 0.0
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Santos Win
- Edge
- +23.1
- Odds
- 3.80
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.88
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.8%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
8.2%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.