Serie A badgeSerie A · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Vasco DA Gama badgeVasco DA GamavsSao Paulo badgeSao Paulo

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.4%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+9.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +9.1%
Our model60.4%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Vasco DA Gama badge

Vasco DA Gama

Attack50
Defence50
Form41
Sao Paulo badge

Sao Paulo

Attack57
Defence81
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.1%Correct
Our model60.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market46.5%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

Vasco DA Gama (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Vasco DA Gama Win

Correct
Our model40.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-10.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.