Allsvenskan badgeAllsvenskan · 12 July 2026AI PICK

Vasteras SK FK badgeVasteras SK FKvsDegerfors IF badgeDegerfors IF

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.0%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +3.4%
Our model58.0%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Vasteras SK FK badge

Vasteras SK FK

Attack63
Defence42
Form49
Degerfors IF badge

Degerfors IF

Attack43
Defence51
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Vasteras SK FK (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Correct
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.4%Miss
Our model58.0%
The market54.6%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Close
Our model54.1%
The market48.6%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Vasteras SK FK Win

Correct
Our model41.6%
The market48.8%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.3%
The market10.7%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.3%

1-1

9.6%

3-1

6.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.