First League · 24 August 2026AI PICK
Velesvs
Arsenal Tula
2 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 42.7%
- Edge
- +11.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.27
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.27
The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Veles
Arsenal Tula
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
Arsenal Tula (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.8
- Odds
- 1.58
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.0
- Odds
- 2.27
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 1.88
Match Winner
Arsenal Tula Win
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 2.14
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.33
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.4%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
5.6%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.