Velesvs
Leningradets
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.9%
- Market said
- 45.2%
- Edge
- +11.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.21
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectVeles Win
Match Winner · best price 2.21
The market underrated this by 11.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Veles
Leningradets
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -4.0
- Odds
- 1.29
Draw No Bet
Veles (DNB)
- Edge
- +11.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Veles Win
- Edge
- +11.7
- Odds
- 2.21
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 1.64
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.6
- Odds
- 1.79
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 4.97
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
17.5%
0-0
15.0%
2-0
13.3%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.