First League badgeFirst League · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Veles badgeVelesvsLeningradets badgeLeningradets

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.9%
Market said
45.2%
Edge
+11.7 pts
Best odds
2.21

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Veles Win

Match Winner · best price 2.21

MediumEdge +11.7%
Our model56.9%
The market45.2%

The market underrated this by 11.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Veles badge

Veles

Attack50
Defence37
Form48
Leningradets badge

Leningradets

Attack22
Defence34
Form30

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market77.5%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
1.29

Draw No Bet

Veles (DNB)

Edge +11.9%Correct
Our model69.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Veles Win

Edge +11.7%Correct
Our model56.9%
The market45.2%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
2.21

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model56.5%
The market59.2%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.64

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.6%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market54.0%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.79

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model17.5%
The market20.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
4.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.5%

0-0

15.0%

2-0

13.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.